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Ireland revises economic forecast in face of Trump tariffs

by Tyler
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The Irish government has revised down its economic growth forecasts due to global uncertainty and warned that a transatlantic trade war will lead to a further economic weakening.

It expects Ireland's domestic economy to expand by 2.5% this year, down from an earlier forecast of 2.9%.

In the event of a tariff war between the EU and US, it said growth this year would be forecast at 2%, falling to 1.75% next year.

The forecasts are for a measure known as Modified Domestic Demand (MDD) which strips out the distorting impacts of multinational companies.

Reuters
The Republic of Ireland Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe said there is "evidence that firms and households are adopting a 'wait-and-see' approach"

The Irish Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe said: "The more contested and fragmented world that is now taking shape represents a serious headwind for the Irish economy which has benefited so much from the rules-based, multilateral trade system.

"Even in the absence of any further changes in tariffs, there is evidence that firms and households are adopting a 'wait-and-see' approach.

"In other words, they are holding off on big-ticket purchases; this is also a feature in other economies."

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